Welding Technology  ·  Level 5
Mathematics
Chapter 4: Apply statistics and probability
📚 9 Topics
⚑ What you will be able to do

By the end of this chapter, you will be able to:

  • Present data clearly and correctly to meet the needs of any task.
  • Calculate measures of central tendency accurately, such as mean, median, and mode.
  • Determine measures of dispersion correctly, including range and standard deviation.
  • Accurately find the probability of events happening based on given information.

These skills will help you make informed decisions and solve real-world problems confidently in your trade.

Welding professionals in Kenya frequently collect and analyze data to monitor quality, improve processes, and ensure safety. Understanding how to present data clearly is essential for interpreting measurements such as weld dimensions, material properties, or defect frequencies. This chapter focuses on methods for presenting continuous data and graphical tools like histograms and line graphs that facilitate decision-making in welding operations.

4.1 Data presentation

Data presentation is fundamental in welding to communicate measurements and trends effectively. Welding data often involves continuous variables such as temperature, tensile strength, or bead width, which require appropriate graphical representation. This section covers continuous variables, histograms, and line graphs, providing tools to visualize welding data for analysis and reporting.

4.1.1 Continuous variables

Continuous variables represent measurements that can take any value within a range, crucial in welding for precise parameter control. Examples include weld bead length, current intensity, and gas flow rate. These variables are often recorded to monitor process stability and product quality.

The main characteristic of continuous variables is that they are measurable quantities that can be subdivided infinitely, unlike discrete variables which count separate items.

$$ \text{Continuous Variable} = x \in [a, b], \quad a,b \in \mathbb{R} $$

Worked Examples

Example 1:
A welder measures the bead width on a steel plate 5 times, obtaining values (in mm): 6.2, 6.5, 6.3, 6.4, 6.6. Calculate the average bead width.

Given: Measurements \(x_1=6.2, x_2=6.5, x_3=6.3, x_4=6.4, x_5=6.6\) mm$$\bar{x} = \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i$$$$\bar{x} = \frac{6.2 + 6.5 + 6.3 + 6.4 + 6.6}{5}$$$$\bar{x} = \frac{31.0}{5}$$ Answer: 6.2 mm

Example 2:
The welding current is recorded continuously between 120 A and 140 A during a procedure. Express the current as a continuous variable interval.

Given: Range \(120 \text{ A} \leq I \leq 140 \text{ A}\)$$I \in [120, 140] \text{ A}$$ Answer: Welding current varies continuously from 120 A to 140 A

Example 3:
Calculate the range of weld temperatures measured as 1350°C, 1365°C, 1348°C, 1355°C, and 1370°C.

Given: Temperatures \(T = \{1350, 1365, 1348, 1355, 1370\}\) °C$$\text{Range} = \max(T) - \min(T)$$$$= 1370 - 1348$$$$= 22 \text{ °C}$$ Answer: Temperature range is 22 °C

4.1.2 Histogram

Histograms are graphical representations that organize continuous data into intervals or bins, showing frequency distribution. In welding, histograms help visualize the spread of measurements such as weld thickness or defect sizes, aiding quality control and process improvement.

The construction of histograms involves grouping data into classes and plotting the frequency of each class as bars.

$$ \text{Frequency} = f_i, \quad i=1,2,...,k $$

Worked Examples

Example 1:
A welder records bead widths (mm) from 20 welds: 5.9, 6.1, 6.0, 6.4, 6.2, 6.3, 6.0, 6.1, 6.5, 6.2, 6.3, 6.4, 6.1, 6.0, 6.3, 6.2, 6.1, 6.4, 6.3, 6.2. Group the data into intervals 5.9–6.0, 6.1–6.2, 6.3–6.4, 6.5–6.6 and find the frequency for each.

Given: Data set as above
Class intervals:

  • 5.9–6.0
  • 6.1–6.2
  • 6.3–6.4
  • 6.5–6.6

Count frequencies:

  • 5.9–6.0: 5.9, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0 → 4
  • 6.1–6.2: 6.1, 6.2, 6.1, 6.2, 6.1, 6.2 → 6
  • 6.3–6.4: 6.3, 6.4, 6.3, 6.4, 6.3 → 5
  • 6.5–6.6: 6.5 → 1

Answer: Frequencies are 4, 6, 5, 1 respectively

Example 2:
Calculate the relative frequency for each class interval from Example 1 if total data points are 20.

Given: Frequencies \(f = \{4, 6, 5, 1\}\), total \(N=20\)$$\text{Relative frequency} = \frac{f_i}{N}$$$$\text{For 5.9–6.0} = \frac{4}{20} = 0.2$$$$\text{For 6.1–6.2} = \frac{6}{20} = 0.3$$$$\text{For 6.3–6.4} = \frac{5}{20} = 0.25$$$$\text{For 6.5–6.6} = \frac{1}{20} = 0.05$$ Answer: Relative frequencies are 0.2, 0.3, 0.25, 0.05

Example 3:
Determine the midpoint of each class interval in Example 1 for histogram plotting.

Given: Intervals 5.9–6.0, 6.1–6.2, 6.3–6.4, 6.5–6.6
Midpoint formula:$$\text{Midpoint} = \frac{\text{Lower limit} + \text{Upper limit}}{2}$$ Calculate:$$\frac{5.9 + 6.0}{2} = 5.95$$$$\frac{6.1 + 6.2}{2} = 6.15$$$$\frac{6.3 + 6.4}{2} = 6.35$$$$\frac{6.5 + 6.6}{2} = 6.55$$ Answer: Midpoints are 5.95, 6.15, 6.35, 6.55 mm

4.1.3 Line

Line graphs display data points connected by straight lines, used to show trends or changes over time. Welders use line graphs to track parameters such as temperature variation during welding or changes in tensile strength across different weld runs.

Line graphs emphasize the relationship between two continuous variables, often time and a measured quantity.

$$ y = f(x) $$

Worked Examples

Example 1:
Plot temperature readings (°C) taken every 10 minutes during welding: 1300, 1320, 1340, 1330, 1350. Find the average rate of temperature increase per minute between the first and last reading.

Given:
Initial temperature \(T_1 = 1300^\circ C\) at \(t_1 = 0\) min
Final temperature \(T_5 = 1350^\circ C\) at \(t_5 = 40\) min
Rate of increase:$$\text{Rate} = \frac{T_5 - T_1}{t_5 - t_1}$$$$= \frac{1350 - 1300}{40 - 0}$$$$= \frac{50}{40}$$$$= 1.25^\circ C/\text{min}$$ Answer: Temperature increases at 1.25 °C per minute

Example 2:
The tensile strength (MPa) of five weld samples is recorded as 420, 430, 425, 435, 440. Calculate the percentage increase from the first to the last sample.

Given: Initial \(S_1=420\) MPa, Final \(S_5=440\) MPa$$\%\text{ Increase} = \frac{S_5 - S_1}{S_1} \times 100$$$$= \frac{440 - 420}{420} \times 100$$$$= \frac{20}{420} \times 100$$$$= 4.76\%$$ Answer: The tensile strength increased by 4.76%

Example 3:
A welder records the gas flow rate (L/min) every 5 minutes: 12, 13, 13.5, 14, 15. Determine the average flow rate over the 20-minute period.

Given: Flow rates \(Q = \{12, 13, 13.5, 14, 15\}\) L/min$$\bar{Q} = \frac{1}{5} \sum_{i=1}^5 Q_i$$$$= \frac{12 + 13 + 13.5 + 14 + 15}{5}$$$$= \frac{67.5}{5}$$$$= 13.5 \text{ L/min}$$ Answer: Average gas flow rate is 13.5 L/min

Practice Questions

  1. A welder measures the penetration depth (mm) on 8 welds: 4.5, 4.7, 4.6, 4.8, 4.5, 4.9, 4.7, 4.6. Calculate the mean penetration depth. (4 marks)
  2. Group the following weld bead widths (mm) into intervals 5.0–5.4, 5.5–5.9, 6.0–6.4 and find the frequency of each: 5.2, 5.8, 6.1, 5.5, 6.3, 5.1, 6.0, 5.7, 6.2, 5.9. (6 marks)
  3. The welding temperature was recorded every 15 minutes as 1250°C, 1275°C, 1300°C, 1280°C, 1310°C. Calculate the average rate of temperature change per minute between the first and last reading. (5 marks)
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🔒4.2 Discrete variable

In welding quality control and production analysis, discrete variables represent countable quantities such as the number of defective welds or the number of welds completed in a day. These variables take on distinct values, typically whole numbers, and are ess…

🔒4.3 Grouped data

In welding projects across Kenya, data often comes in grouped form, such as weld defect counts by size ranges or welding times grouped in intervals. Grouped data summarises raw data into classes, making it easier to analyse frequencies and trends relevant to w…

🔒4.4 Ungrouped Data

Ungrouped data refers to raw data points collected without categorization into classes or groups. In welding quality control or production monitoring, ungrouped data might represent measurements such as weld bead thickness, arc voltage readings, or defect coun…

🔒4.5 Measures of Central Tendency

Measures of central tendency summarize data by identifying a central or typical value. In welding, these measures help assess consistent quality, such as average weld thickness or most frequent defect type, guiding quality assurance and process control. The me…

🔒4.6 Measures of dispersion

In welding quality control and process monitoring, understanding how data varies around a central value is crucial. Measures of dispersion quantify the spread or variability in data sets such as weld bead sizes, tensile strengths, or defect rates. This helps w…

🔒4.7 Probability

Probability is essential in welding quality assurance to assess the likelihood of defects or equipment failure under given conditions. Calculating probabilities helps welders and supervisors plan inspections and maintenance schedules effectively. Probability w…

🔒4.8 Probability distribution functions

Probability distribution functions describe how probabilities are assigned to different outcomes of a random variable. In welding quality control and inspection, understanding these distributions helps predict defect occurrences, estimate failure rates, and op…

🔒4.9 Normal distribution

The normal distribution is a continuous probability distribution that is symmetrical about the mean, describing many natural variations in welding measurements, such as weld bead width, tensile strength, and hardness. It is fundamental to quality control and s…

Chapter Summary

This chapter covers the presentation of data, distinguishing between continuous variables using histograms and line graphs, and discrete variables with bar and pie graphs. It further explores grouped data presentation through histograms, bar charts, cumulative frequency tables, and ogives, as well as ungrouped data displayed by line graphs and cumulative frequency. Measures of central tendency including mean, mode, and median are calculated for both grouped and ungrouped data sets. The chapter also addresses measures of dispersion, focusing on standard deviation and variance for grouped and ungrouped data. Probability concepts are introduced, considering scenarios with and without replacement, followed by probability distribution functions such as the binomial and Poisson distributions. Finally, the chapter examines the normal distribution, providing a foundation for understanding statistical variability and probabilistic models in civil engineering contexts.

Self-Assessment

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Written Assessment

  1. A welding workshop recorded the continuous variable of welding current (in amperes) used in 6 sessions as follows: 120, 125, 130, 128, 122, 127. Calculate the mean welding current. (2 marks)

  2. The lengths of welded joints (in cm) measured in a batch are: 15, 18, 20, 15, 22, 20, 18, 15. Construct a frequency table and draw a bar graph representing this discrete data. What is the mode length? (3 marks)

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Chapter Examination Questions

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SECTION A (40 Marks) - Answer ALL Questions

  1. A welding workshop recorded the thickness (in mm) of 10 steel plates as follows: 5.2, 5.5, 5.3, 5.6, 5.4, 5.5, 5.3, 5.7, 5.4, 5.6. Calculate the mean thickness. (4 marks)
  2. The number of welding defects found in 8 batches are: 2, 3, 0, 1, 4, 2, 3, 1. Draw a bar graph representing this data. (4 marks)
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Am I competent?

At the start of this chapter we promised you would be able to:

  • Present data clearly and correctly to meet the needs of any task.
  • Calculate measures of central tendency accurately, such as mean, median, and mode.
  • Determine measures of dispersion correctly, including range and standard deviation.
  • Accurately find the probability of events happening based on given information.

Tick each one you can genuinely do.

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You're competent when you can confidently do 50% or more of what this chapter promised.

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